Courtesy of Haaretz:
U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton requested the Pentagon to provide Washington with military options to strike Iran after three mortars launched by Iran-affiliated militants fell near the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday.
The incident occurred in early September. No one was wounded, as the shells fell in an open lot, but the event apparently spurred Washington to discuss the possibility of a military response.
“It definitely rattled people,” a former senior White House official was quoted as saying. “People were shocked. It was mind-boggling how cavalier they were about hitting Iran.”
It is unclear whether U.S. President Donald Trump knew of Bolton’s request or if concrete plans were drawn out for a strike, but according to the official, the Pentagon agreed to develop a set of options to attack Iran.
As we know John Bolton is a hawk and would need very little provocation to push for a war against Iran.
However, there is a rather odd reason why I am not terribly worried about his ability to convince Trump to go along with him.
Vladimir Putin won’t let him.
It may be one of the very few benefits of having a president who is a Russian asset, but Iran and Russia are buddies, and I don’t see Putin giving the go-ahead for an attack against Iran that might destabilize the country and put his investments at risk.
Trump is allowed to talk tough about Iran, and attack the Obama Administration’s nuclear deal with them, but I think that is just about as much leash as he is allowed.
I would be very surprised if we took any serious military action against Iran as long as Trump is in the White House.